Brazil Jailed Its Trump-Like Leader After Insurrection. The US Elected Theirs.

What Happened On January 8, 2023, thousands of supporters of Brazil’s right-wing former President Jair Bolsonaro violently stormed federal buildings in Brasília, the country’s capital. The attackers invaded the Supreme Court, Congress, and presidential palace, demanding the overthrow of newly elected President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s government. The insurrectionists, like their American counterparts two years earlier, claimed the election was rigged despite no credible evidence of fraud. Bolsonaro had lost the October 2022 presidential election to Lula by a narrow margin but refused to formally concede defeat, echoing Trump’s behavior after the 2020 US election.

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How Democracies Successfully Fight Off Authoritarian Leaders

What Happened A detailed study of democratic resilience across multiple countries has identified the key mechanisms that allow democracies to survive authoritarian threats from within. The research examined successful cases of democratic defense in Brazil, South Korea, and Poland, contrasting them with failed cases like Venezuela and Hungary. The analysis reveals that democratic survival hinges primarily on what researchers call “threat legibility” - how obvious the authoritarian threat appears to key institutions and the general public.

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